Day three of AFCON 2025 wasn't just about goals and victories, it was a reality check that separated genuine title contenders from teams riding on reputation alone.
From Nigeria's unconvincing win in Fez to Senegal's emphatic statement, here are five harsh truths that emerged from the action.
1. Nigeria are winning ugly and that's a problem waiting to explode
The Super Eagles scraped past Tanzania 2-1 thanks to Ademola Lookman’s stunning winner, but the performance raised more red flags than celebrations.
After conceding a shock equaliser from the Taifa Stars, Nigeria relied on Lookman's quick response to salvage three points, yet they never truly dominated a side they were expected to dismantle.
The reality: Tanzania exposed defensive frailties that stronger opponents like Tunisia will ruthlessly exploit.
Winning is essential in tournament football, but this kind of unconvincing display breeds doubt rather than confidence.
If Nigeria’s Super Eagles don't sharpen up immediately, their next clash could be a wake-up call they can't recover from.
Eric Chelle Ball 🥹
— 🇳🇬 Super Eagles (@NGSuperEagles) December 23, 2025
pic.twitter.com/kXB4Gfivr7
2. Senegal just reminded everyone why they're top contenders
While Nigeria stumbled, Senegal made a deafening statement with a commanding 3-0 demolition of Botswana.
Nicolas Jackson's brace wasn't just impressive, it was a declaration that the Lions of Teranga aren't here to participate; they're here to dominate.
The reality: This wasn't a team feeling out the competition. Senegal's attacking sharpness, defensive organization, and tactical fluidity sent a clear message to every other nation: they remain a benchmark. The rest of the tournament just got put on notice.
3. Underestimating 'weaker' teams is a dangerous game
Tanzania may have lost, but they made Nigeria sweat far more than expected. Their resilience disrupted the Super Eagles' rhythm and proved that no team at AFCON 2025 should be taken lightly, regardless of rankings or reputations.
The reality: Tournament football punishes complacency. Teams that sleepwalk through matches against supposedly inferior opponents risk more than dropped points, they invite momentum swings that can derail entire campaigns. Nigeria's narrow escape should serve as a warning to all favourites.
4. Star players are already rewriting the tournament narrative
Lookman's crucial strike, Elias Achouri and Jackson's explosive braces aren't just statistics, they're performances that force opponents to completely rethink their tactical approach.
These players, who led their countries Nigeria, Tunisia, and Senegal to wins are becoming the faces of this tournament, and their influence extends beyond the scoresheet.
The reality: When stars deliver in high-pressure moments, they shift how games are analysed, how opponents prepare, and how referees perceive challenges.
Don't sleep on Nicolas Jackson's @1xBet_Eng Goal of the Day! 🤩🇸🇳#TotalEnergiesAFCON2025 pic.twitter.com/10FFZZBRFY
— TotalEnergies AFCON 2025 (@CAF_Online) December 24, 2025
Future opponents will now dedicate entire defensive strategies to neutralising these threats, fundamentally altering match dynamics.
5. Early group dynamics are creating psychological winners and losers
The contrast between Tunisia's commanding start and Nigeria's shaky performance is already setting different tones in their respective groups.
One team looks like unstoppable champions; alongside Senegal, the other looks vulnerable despite collecting points.
The reality: Group stage posture matters enormously at AFCON. Teams that project strength early carry psychological leverage into knockout rounds, while those scraping through invite pressure and tactical targeting.
Senegal are building momentum; Nigeria are managing damage control. That difference could prove decisive when the tournament reaches its critical stages.
Day three exposed who's truly ready for AFCON glory and who's still searching for form.
Best way to make your first goal memorable? Score two. 🇸🇳#TotalEnergiesAFCON2025 | #WePlayDifferent pic.twitter.com/aOrSkeqwkC
— TotalEnergies AFCON 2025 (@CAF_Online) December 23, 2025
The next round of matches will reveal whether Nigeria can find their rhythm or if their struggles will cost them against Tunisia.