Brighton vs Arsenal predictions and betting tips: The League leaders looking to march on after London derby wins
This Premier League Matchday 29 headline fixture takes us to the Amex Stadium as league leaders Arsenal look to maintain their five-point cushion at the summit.
Brighton (11th) enter the tie with renewed confidence following back-to-back wins over Brentford and Nottingham Forest, finally ending a dismal six-match winless streak.
Arsenal, meanwhile, arrive on the south coast having dispatched London rivals Tottenham and Chelsea in succession, though injuries to key personnel may test Mikel Arteta’s squad depth in this midweek clash.
Selection | Market | Odds | Confidence |
Primary Tip | Arsenal to Win | 1.70 | High |
Value Bet | Arsenal to Win & BTTS | 3.70 | Medium |
Long shot | William Saliba Anytime Scorer | 22.00 | Low |
*Odds are via SportyBet and correct at the time of posting
Arsenal to Win
Despite Brighton’s recent resurgence, Arsenal’s title momentum is currently the strongest in the division.
The Gunners are unbeaten in their last nine games across all competitions and have historically dominated this fixture at the Amex, remaining undefeated on this ground since 2021.
With Manchester City still breathing down their necks, Arsenal cannot afford a slip-up, and their superior tactical structure should see them navigate this banana skin fixture.
Arsenal to Win & BTTS
While we expect an away win, a clean sheet for the Gunners is far from guaranteed. Brighton have failed to score in only three of their 14 home games this season and have averaged 1.35 goals per match.
Arsenal’s defense has been the league's best, but with potential rotation in the full-back positions, a doubt over Declan Rice's full fitness, and the Seagulls' high-pressing frontline, the hosts are likely to find the net at least once.
William Saliba Anytime Scorer
For those looking for higher value, the set-piece king status of this Arsenal side makes their centre-backs a constant threat.
William Saliba scored the decisive goal against Chelsea last weekend and has become a primary target for Bukayo Saka’s pinpoint deliveries.
Brighton have struggled against physical aerial threats this season, conceding 28% of their goals from dead-ball situations, making Saliba a tempting longshot pick.
Predicted lineups
Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Verbruggen; Wieffer, Dunk, Van Hecke, Kadioglu; Gomez, Baleba; Minteh, Hinshelwood, Mitoma; Rutter
Team News
Fabian Hurzeler is without long-term absentees Adam Webster and Stefanos Tzimas (Knee). Mats Wieffer is available despite a minor knock, but veteran James Milner may be rested for the youthful Carlos Baleba.
Arsenal (4-2-3-1)
Raya; Mosquera, Saliba, Gabriel, Calafiori; Zubimendi, Norgaard; Saka, Havertz, Martinelli; Gyokeres
Team News
Declan Rice and Martin Odegaard are major doubts after picking up knocks against during and before the Chelsea game respectively.
Ben White remains sidelined, while Mikel Merino is out following foot surgery.