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Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips: Relegation-Threatened Hosts Face Title-Chasing Giants at Son Moix

LaLiga's Matchday 30 serves up a fixture with massive implications at both ends of the table as relegation-threatened Mallorca welcome title-chasing Real Madrid to the Estadi Mallorca Son Moix on Saturday, with kick-off scheduled for 3:15 PM.
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Real Madrid are currently on a five match winning streak with three consecutive La Liga wins, including a thrilling 3-2 comeback victory over Atlético Madrid. That match showed the resilience of  Alvaro Arbeloa's side despite playing with ten men for a large portion of the match.

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However, Los Blancos remain four points adrift of arch-rivals Barcelona at the summit and simply cannot afford to drop further ground in the title race. This match will also provide a vital boost as Madrid also prepare for the UCL Quarter finals match against Bayern Munich. 

Meanwhile, Mallorca find themselves rooted in 18th place, having collected just 28 points from 29 matches. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-1 defeat away at Elche, making it five losses in their last seven league games. 

Every point is precious for Martín Demichelis's side, and the hostile atmosphere at Son Moix will be their greatest weapon. However, securing a win against a positive Madrid side will be a great test for the hosts.

Selection

Market

Best Odds

Confidence

Primary Tip

Real Madrid to Win

1.61

High

Value Bet

Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5

2.26

Medium

Player Prop

Kylian Mbappé to Score Anytime

1.72

High

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*Odds sourced from SportyBet and are correct at the time of publishing. Always gamble responsibly.

Real Madrid to Win

The gulf in quality and league position makes a Real Madrid victory the standout selection. Arbeloa's men are on a five-game winning run across all competitions and boast an impressive away record, averaging more than two goals scored per game while conceding less than one on their travels in the league this term.

Real have won four of the last six encounters between these two sides, with Mallorca's most recent home victory over Los Blancos dating back to 2023. 

Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals

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Mallorca's numbers tell an uncomfortable story defensively: they have conceded goals in every one of their last ten home league outings and have shipped at least one goal in each of their last 15 matches across all competitions.

However, Vedat Muriqi remains a genuine threat for the hosts as he has bagged 18 LaLiga goals this season and is currently the second highest scorer in the league this season. The Kosovo striker provides Mallorca with the cutting edge to punish any defensive lapses from a Real Madrid backline that is still adjusting to absences.

Kylian Mbappe to Score Anytime

Mbappe is the top scorer in LaLiga this season with 23 goals from 25 appearances.The French superstar returned from a knee injury in recent weeks and has been reintegrated into the starting lineup, looking sharp in training as Arbeloa prepares the squad for the Son Moix trip. 

With Valverde suspended and Madrid needing goals to chase down Barcelona, Mbappe will be central to their attacking play and has a very high chance to get on the scoresheet.

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Predicted Lineups

Mallorca (4-3-3)

Leo Román; Morey, Raíllo, Lato, Mojica; Darder, Mascarell, Samú Costa; Abdon Prats, Muriqi, Pablo Torre

Real Madrid (4-3-3)

Lunin; Alexander-Arnold, Rüdiger, Huijsen, Carreras; Tchouaméni, Camavinga, Guler; Vinicius Jr., Mbappe, Brahim Díaz

Team News — Mallorca

Demichelis will be without Pablo Maffeo, Takuma Asano, and Marash Kumbulla through injury for this fixture. Maffeo's absence weakens Mallorca's right flank, and Asano has been struggling with a hamstring setback that has restricted his involvement for much of the second half of the campaign. 

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Goalkeeper Leo Román is expected to continue in goal despite a difficult season as he has kept just one clean sheet in 23 league matches.

Team News — Real Madrid

Alvaro Arbeloa enters this game with a notable selection headache. Thibaut Courtois, Ferland Mendy, and Rodrygo remain sidelined. Courtois's absence has seen Andriy Lunin deputise admirably in goal. The biggest blow for this specific fixture is the suspension of Federico Valverde, who received a red card in the Atletico Madrid win and will sit out here, removing a key creative force from midfield. 

Jude Bellingham and Kylian Mbappe are back in the group and expected to feature, while the manager is still monitoring Tchouameni and Camavinga who trained with the squad on April 1st. 

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