Atletico vs Real Madrid preview, prediction, team news, and head-to-head

Real Madrid were last year’s finalists but were thrashed by Barcelona and will want to redeem themselves this year. Meanwhile, Atletico will be hoping to win the Spanish Super Cup for the first time since 2014.

Atletico Madrid were held to a 1-1 draw against Real Sociedad in their last outing on Sunday to leave them at the 4th position of the La Liga table with 38 points. This result is not great for Diego Simeone’s men, seeing that their rivals are currently in good shape. 

After failing to progress from the semi-finals in the last two editions of this tournament, Los Rojiblancos will hope to get past an in-form Madrid side, whom they have already beaten this season. 

Real Madrid hammered Betis 5-1 on Sunday to keep up with the pressure on table leaders Barcelona. Even in the absence of star man Kylian Mbappe, an hattrick from Gonzalo García ensured Los Blancos gained the 3 points in grand style.

After losing to Barcelona in a 5-2 thriller last year, Xabi Alonso will be motivated to guide his men to a first trophy with him as the manager. The Meringues will also use this opportunity to retaliate against a side that won them in the beginning of the season.

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Recent clashes between these two rivals have been tightly contested, but Real Madrid has had the upper hand in the big games. Out of their last five meetings, Atletico won two, Real took one, and the other two ended in draws. The latest match between them saw Simeone’s side enjoy a 5-2 victory in September 2025.

​Atletico Madrid heads into this clash with fewer injury issues than their opponents. Pablo Barrios is out with a muscle issue, and Lenglet will be unavailable too due to injury concerns. However, Simeone has his attackers sharp and ready for this fixture. 

As for Real Madrid, their manager is dealing with several key injuries, including  Dani Carvajal, Eder Militao, and David Alaba, who are all still out due to long-term problems. Kylian Mbappe did not get the pass from the medical team to feature in this match after missing out on the game on Sunday.

In place of the French striker, Alonso will still allow Gonzalo Garcia to start with the support from Brazilian stars Vinicius Jr. and Rodrygo.

​Atletico (4-4-2): Oblak; Marcos Llorente, Marc Pubill, Hancko, Ruggeri; Giuliano Simeone, Koke, Gallagher, Alex Baena; Sorloth, Julian Alvarez

Real Madrid (4-3-3): Courtois; Fede Valverde, Raul Asencio, Rudiger, Carreras; Bellingham, Tchouameni, Camavinga; Rodrygo, Goncalo Garcia, Vinicius Junior

Atletico may have the fitter squad, especially at the back, but when it comes to Super Cup nights, Real Madrid always shows up. Instead of going for straight wins, bettors at LivescoreBet should turn to the goal market as this fixture is often filled with lots of goals. 

Prediction: Atletico 2-2 Real Madrid

• Bet on both teams to score

• Over 2.5 goals

• Team to qualify -  Real Madrid